Climate Change

I tend to sit somewhat on the fence with all the climate change stuff.  Yes the climate is changing, but then it always has.  Are the recent changes catestrophic and a one way path, I have no idea, and so it would seem it is with the experts.

In September 2008, following getting the summer prediction of it being a BBQ summer spectacularly wrong, we have the winter prediction from the Met Office:

The Met Office forecast for the coming winter suggests it is, once again, likely to be milder than average. It is also likely that the coming winter will be drier than last year.

And yet, on the 5th of Jan 2010, now we are actually in winter we have headlines of:

Britain facing one of the coldest winters in 100 years, experts predict

So, which "experts" do you believe (it's easy to be an expert in hindsight) and what confidence do we have that anybody has any idea what the climate is going to do in the next 12 months never mind the next 10 years.